Sino-US trade imbalance fuels protectionism in Congress - Instablogs
Sino-US trade imbalance fuels protectionism in Congress
Gagandeep , Shimla: Jul 31 2007
Made Popular Jul 31 2007

Sino-US trade imbalance fuels protectionism in CongressChinese have taken the flat world by a storm. They have unleashed a never-before-seen power of their cheap labor, which few countries have any answer to. In six years, since it joined the WTO, China has made such huge economic strides that it is virtually impossible to negate its presence, whichever country you may be residing in. America is learning this first hand.

Last year Sino-US trade figures deficit stood at $232 billion, in favor of the Chinese. The trends this year indicate that the figure is likely to be higher still. These figures are causing some concerns in the U.S. Congress and sparking a fire among the protectionist lobby. To make things clear, there is an intense feeling of: ‘if they won’t do it, we will.’ So it looks like Congress has decided to take charge of things if Bush administration is going to be lackadaisical while tackling China on trade-ties.

So as a part of the script, dozens of anti-China legislations await the procedure in the Congress. And this time around both Republicans and Democrats are looking to get in on the act. Free trade loosing its sheen? Worth pondering upon!

But wait there’s another side to the story. The threat of a trade war with China, by far the largest holder of U.S. debt, is serious. So the U.S., instead of making the agenda apparent, is trying to catch China over other matters. Let me recount some of the concerns that the Americans have over trade ties with the ‘Made in China’ brand.

Currency pegging

Yuan is undervalued by at least 40 per cent, according to some of the American analysts. This keeps the exports from China vulgarly cheap compared to the indigenous goods of America and vice versa for exports from America. Chinese political establishment, of course, is able to keep its currency pegged since Yuan is not fully convertible and also because Chinese maintain strict controls over the capital transactions. U.S. Congress answer to this problem is a legislation that’ll empower its Treasury to report in every six months on countries that keep exchange rates ‘fundamentally misaligned.’ The Treasury is then empowered to levy penalizing duties on imports from such territories.

Tainted products

The Chinese have become notorious for their poor quality products. Product after product after product has been recalled or been subjected to a meticulous scrutiny. Pet food, toothpaste, children’s toys etc. have all been subjected to this derogatory treatment.

Dumping

If there’s one thing that Chinese can compete for is sheer number. So after coming within the ambit of international trade, China has flooded several countries with its cheap (no pun intended) products. This, obviously, has been a bone of contention in several countries, more so in the U.S. where traders’ lobby is very strong. This year alone, 27 per cent of the antidumping actions that The Commerce Department filed have been against China.

Piracy and counterfeits

Chinese have the strongest regulations when it comes to corruption but somehow same rules are never applied when it comes to cracking down piracy and counterfeited goods. Related to this is the touchy issue of IPR. Chinese are accused of a blatant violation of the Intellectual Property Rights causing enormous losses to the U.S. every year. Under the terms of China’s WTO accession, it was to bring its IPR laws in accordance with TRIPS, but this has not happened till date. There are developments in enforcing these rights, but these have been unable to put a leash on the blooming counterfeit business in China.

Politics of Trade

The financial muscle and the accompanying political clout the burgeoning forex reserves are bestowing China with, has understandably caused concern in the U.S. While Chinese argue that the above points are raised only as excuses to keep the Sinics under tab, there is more than an ounce of truth to the above allegations. Nevertheless, American political class is making good use of the same to rake in some public support. As a matter of fact, trade with China was made a major campaign in last year’s mid-term elections by the Democrats. This issue is likely to be exploited further in the Presidential race, which is well underway.

So while China and U.S. continue to play their tit for tat, Congress gears up to, what many economists believe, trade-distorting sanctions. The repercussions of such sanctions (which seem almost inevitable) would reverberate throughout the world and definitely have an adverse impact on the world GDP. And the thoughts as to what would happen if China was to start selling off the U.S. treasury bonds, that it is so heavily invested in, is enough to cause more than jitters.

Amidst all the protectionist talks, Paulson has struck a cord of sanity when he says that bilateral talks are a better way to manage tensions than punitive or legislative actions. U.S. problems are deeper than trade with China. Overvalued housing markets, inflexible interest rates, falling dollar, negligible propensity to save, lower economic growth rate; the list seems endless. In such a situation why is China first on target? Are trade ties with Beijing really being used as ‘political football?’ The answer is more evident than you think.

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1 Stars
Excellent write up Gagan, The financial growth of a nation of 1.3 billion people can definitely seem threatening to the US, but it certainly cannot risk harsh taxes on its exports to China. So it has to tread with care.
1 Stars
Vinod
Shimla, India
First of all, I felicitate you for the brilliant write up, on the other hand, I would like to say that helter- skeltering Chinese mood and aspirations to secure the trade hegemony along are undoing it, still, I wonder, how after tainted food and tooth paste with toxic substances they are going with great guns while making considerable progress. So, if Chinese will go with the same rampant speed days are not far when they’ll rule the roost of WTO.
0 Stars
As the trade deficit mounts, the trade war will only become more intense.

The Yuan is definitely suppressed artificially, but a developing country has no other way to keeping its manufacturing processes afloat.

But as the dollar recedes, the exchange rate advantages could help to revive American manufacturing and exports.

For a nation that has thrived on cheap credit and imports, learning to live the hard way, when faced with a rising Chinese dragon, a cohesive European Union and a resurgent Russia will definitely diminish the unilateral power that US often exercises.
0 Stars
Swati S
Shimla, India
A great write up.........indeed....

Trade war is becoming intense....and the trend will continue...

Politics have taken the course of trade and that has its own pros and cons...

US especially....isn’t able to face the progress China has made...the threat that it can be the next...global power..
0 Stars
Pooja
Shimla, India
’U.S. problems are deeper than trade-ties with China,’ true enough but some of them do originate therein nonetheless. I’m with the protectionist lobby on this one. While economic policies are capable of fighting against nations, individual businesses can not do so. Herein Congress steps in. But it must tread carefully; any legislation that discriminates against Chinese without strong justification will have serious consequences in global political balance. U.S. cannot afford to loose support of this Asian powerhouse.
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